concept Updated 2026-08-18 Tags: Warfare, Diplomacy, Statecraft, Coalition, Warring-States

Coalition Settlement Failure / 联军战后安排失败

Coalition settlement failure / 联军战后安排失败 is the pattern 《资治通鉴·周纪》10丨 以家族单位 有蚂蚁吃大象的精神(3) identifies after 韩国 and 赵国 defeat 魏国 at 浊泽. The coalition can win the battle and besiege 安邑, but it fails because Han and Zhao disagree on the settlement.

In the source, 赵成侯 wants to kill 魏罃, install 公中缓, and take land. 韩懿侯 rejects that as reputationally costly and strategically inadequate, preferring to split Wei into two smaller states so it cannot recover as a great threat.

Key Claims

  • A coalition’s battlefield interests can diverge from its postwar design interests.
  • Short-term extraction and long-term threat removal can point to incompatible settlement plans.
  • A defeated state may survive if its enemies cannot coordinate after victory.
  • Reputation, cruelty, greed, land, puppet rulers, and partition all belong to the settlement calculation, not just the battle outcome.

Connections