El Nino
El Nino appears in Missing Peace: Will Israel Imperil Iran Deal? as a recurring Pacific climate pattern that begins when equatorial winds shift warm surface water and disrupt global climate patterns. The episode explains its strength through Pacific surface-temperature anomalies relative to historical averages.
The source says models suggest the event under discussion could rival or exceed the major 1982-83 and 2015-16 El Nino events. Its importance for the wiki is not just meteorological description, but the downstream El Nino Climate Risk created when a strong event arrives on top of global warming and existing food insecurity.
商业小样45 | 厄尔尼诺越大，鱼越贵 adds a marine-food commodity mechanism. In the episode, El Nino weakens cold-water upwelling near Peru, reducing plankton for anchoveta and tightening the Fishmeal Supply Chain that supports modern aquaculture.
Connections
- El Nino Climate Risk - impact and preparation frame from the same episode.
- Climate Adaptation - broader governance and resilience response.
- Systemic Degenerative Volatility - adjacent concept where climate, food, infrastructure, and conflict risks cascade.
- Peruvian Anchoveta / 鳀鱼, Fishmeal Supply Chain, and Climate Food Price Transmission - fisheries and seafood-price mechanism added by 商业小样45.