Bureau of Labor Statistics
146.美国经济这么差,美股还能继续涨吗 | 串台《美轮美换》 adds a market-facing version of the BLS credibility problem. The source says shutdown disruption, staff/resource constraints, large revisions, and Donald Trump’s firing-and-manipulation accusations make some institutional investors less willing to use official labor data without adjustment.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is the U.S. statistical agency at the center of Would you trust an economist with your economy?’s official-data trust case. The source says President Donald Trump accused jobs numbers of being fake or rigged, criticized a large revision, and fired the economist in charge of publishing the jobs report.
The episode presents BLS credibility as an institutional asset created by technical procedure, statistical revisions, and politically neutral staff. Diane (KPMG Chief Economist) and Aaron Sojourner both reject the idea that BLS staff quietly fabricate numbers for partisan ends, while Sojourner warns that attacks and firings can still weaken public confidence in data people use for real decisions.
Connections
- Official Statistics Credibility - main concept grounded by the BLS branch.
- Aaron Sojourner - labor economist defending BLS neutrality in the source.
- Diane (KPMG Chief Economist) - economist rejecting conspiracy claims about the data.
- Donald Trump - political actor whose accusations and firing are central to the source.
- Civil Service Continuity / 文官连续性 - neutral expert bureaucracy branch that the episode makes less satirical and more fragile.
- Government Shutdown Data Blindness and Federal Reserve - data-timeliness and policy-decision branch added by episode 146.