John Holden

John Holden appears in U.S. regulators eye rules for prediction markets as the Indiana University expert explaining the industry incentive behind prediction-market integrity. He argues that platforms have a business reason to avoid scandals because users do not want to trade in a market where someone else may already know the outcome.

Holden also supplies the episode’s legal-strategy tension. Prediction markets may need more sportsbook-like coordination with leagues, integrity monitors, and rules against easily manipulated contracts, but looking too much like sports betting can strengthen arguments that they are gambling products.

Connections

• Indiana University - Holden’s affiliation in the episode.
• Prediction Market Integrity Oversight - core concept his comments support.
• Sportsbook Integrity Monitoring - oversight model that may be borrowed or adapted.
• Event Contract Manipulation Risk and Prediction Market Ethics - manipulation and legal-boundary concepts.