entity Updated 2026-07-07 Tags: Person, Investing, Media

老麦

老麦 is a guest in EP38 风满楼!全球资本市场巨幅动荡,腥风血雨时刻近在咫尺. He provides the more trading-structure-oriented explanation of the selloff, emphasizing Japanese equity volatility, overseas capital flows, index futures and options, short covering, the Yen Carry Trade, and the difficulty of interpreting a market shock from outside the local market.

EP39 风满楼下集:全球衰退慢慢逼近,严防死守步步为营!漫聊下半年美股、美债、汇率 adds his asset-allocation posture after the selloff. He emphasizes view-consistent trading, cautions against chasing QDII Allocation quota into expensive U.S. equities, discusses U.S. bond products as a possible defensive bridge, and frames RMB/USD as more likely to stay within a managed range than to move to extreme scenarios.

In EP43 对话素人博主,原来财务和自由是分开的, 老麦 appears as the host/interviewer rather than the investing guest. He guides 助助 through the practical economics of Xiaohongshu Creator Monetization, then summarizes the episode’s core distinction between ordinary creator income and Financial Freedom Vs Lifestyle Freedom.

In EP57 美股动荡,东升西降?这回是走是留, 老麦 returns to the investing-guest role. He argues that March 2025 U.S. equity volatility should be watched rather than chased, connects Donald Trump policy pressure with Federal Reserve uncertainty, treats DeepSeek as a catalyst for reassessing AI capex returns, and recommends cash, patience, and staged entry over aggressive all-in buying.

In EP21 谁在狱中?谁在巅峰?周期中的一粒灰,金融人的喜与悲, 老麦 shifts from markets to finance-career risk. He uses cases involving a bank vice president’s platform jump, gambling-driven customer-fund misuse, long-serving customer managers, management promotion, and post-bank entrepreneurship to frame Financial Career Risk, Financial Employee Misconduct Controls, and Finance Career Portability.

Source Position

  • He treats the Japanese equity crash as unusual even by long market-practitioner standards.
  • He argues that Derivative Amplified Volatility helped turn a policy and currency shock into a sharper index move.
  • He frames Warren Buffett’s cash and Apple reduction as meaningful risk context without treating them as a precise market-timing signal.
  • He cautions against overreading one month of economic data when evaluating Federal Reserve policy.
  • In EP39, he treats Currency Risk and RMB Exchange Rate Policy as central to overseas allocation decisions, especially for investors measuring returns in RMB.
  • He argues that if an investor is cautious on equities, using lower-risk bond exposure can be more coherent than chasing Nasdaq exposure only because quota is available.
  • In EP43, he frames ordinary creator work as a way to improve life on the margin rather than a reliable path to financial freedom.
  • In EP57, he treats Retail Investor Crowding, tail-end index support, and weak bank stocks as warning signs that a correction may not have fully cleared.
  • He argues that Hong Kong Tech Repricing can be real while still being vulnerable to U.S.-led liquidity shocks.
  • In EP21, he warns against fast money in finance because a pursuit of “financial freedom” can become legal and personal-freedom risk.
  • He presents finance work as useful professional training even when a person later leaves the industry.

Connections