Podcast Atlas
entity Updated 2026-08-07 Topics: Economics

Ricky

In 172.全球宏观和资本市场2026半年度复盘与展望：AI叙事的下一步, Ricky gives the half-year 2026 update from his Siri 投资 role. He treats April hyperscaler capex as the turn that re-lit global AI equities, but says the next stage is more tactical: avoid overheated core AI names, watch trading volume and U.S. capex, keep some technology exposure, and look for peripheral or time-lagged opportunities around China domestic substitution, Huawei, and DeepSeek.

In 161. 全球宏观和资本市场2026一季度复盘与展望, Ricky gives the first-quarter 2026 update to his January macro outlook. He argues that markets moved from a risk-appetite window toward Stagflation Risk Repricing / 滞胀风险重估, recession fear, liquidity pressure, and geopolitical uncertainty, making him cautious on U.S. technology equities, more constructive on A shares as relatively supported, and short-term neutral but long-term selective on Hong Kong assets. His frame extends Geopolitical Cycle Macro, China Equity Structural Selection / 中国权益结构分化, Gold As Currency Spare Tire / 黄金备胎, and Private Credit Tail Risk / 私募信贷尾部风险.

In 153.全球宏观和资本市场2026展望：大年之后，仍是大年？, Ricky returns for the 2026 annual macro and capital-market outlook. He describes 2025 as a capital-market and asset-management big year while stressing China Equity-Real Economy Gap / 中国股市与实体经济落差, then leans risk-on for 2026 through A/H exposure, especially H shares, provided investors watch Central Balance-Sheet Demand Support / 中央资产负债表托底, China Deflation Demand Repair / 中国通缩的需求侧修复, RMB appreciation, AI capex confirmation, gold sizing, and China Equity Structural Selection / 中国权益结构分化 rather than assuming another broad beta year.

Ricky is the guest in vol.106.迪拜，真的遍地是黄金？, where he speaks with 大卫翁 after a two-week visit to Dubai / 迪拜 and Abu Dhabi. His perspective is finance-oriented: the episode follows what he heard from bankers, developers, brokers, lawyers, and businesspeople about capital flow, residency, real estate, crypto, and Chinese outbound companies.

Ricky’s role in the wiki is as a short-field-visit observer, not a definitive authority on the UAE. He repeatedly qualifies his claims, especially around Dubai Real Estate Market, Dubai Golden Visa Residency, and investment opportunities, by saying listeners should discount the observations and seek correction from people who know the Middle East better.

In Vol.115 全球宏观和资本市场2025展望：短期问题不解决，就没有中期和长期了, Ricky returns as the macro and investing guest. He frames China’s 2025 policy challenge through Short-Term Demand Before Long-Term Reform, fiscal transmission, RMB Exchange Rate Policy, and an A/H Share 2025 Barbell combining Defensive Dividend Assets with New Quality Productive Forces / 新质生产力, while treating U.S. mega-cap technology as a right-side but increasingly belief-heavy trade.

133.全球宏观和资本市场2025年中盘点：中国的三个温差和美国的三个预期差 adds Ricky’s mid-year update to that framework. He emphasizes the split between ordinary and professional investor experience, Hong Kong’s stronger first-half China-asset role, fiscal-space preservation, RMB-first rate constraints, continued gold preference, and the risk that private-credit or credit-like products only reveal volatility under stress.

Connections