Battlefield rare earths: How the U.S. lost to China

Summary

This Planet Money episode traces how the United States lost its rare-earth lead from the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Molycorp era to China’s dominance in mining, processing, and supply-chain coordination. It argues that [[RareEarthProcessingBottleneck|rare-earth security]] depends on refining know-how, financing, engineers, customers, and state policy, not only on mineral deposits. The episode uses Mark Smith, Rod Eggert, Project Phoenix, MP Materials, and NioCorp to show why rebuilding capacity is slow, politically state-driven, and exposed to both export leverage and price shocks.

Key Claims

  • Prospectors discovered the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine in 1949 while looking for uranium; the deposit later supplied rare earths such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium, praseodymium, and europium.
  • By the 1960s, Molycorp had become a major rare-earth supplier, and the source says its europium helped produce red color in color televisions.
  • Mark Smith recalls that by the late 1980s Molycorp was struggling to sell cerium and lanthanum because customers were buying cheaper rare-earth products from China.
  • Rod Eggert’s research is used to explain China’s long rare-earth policy from 1975 to 2018: low-cost financing, technical training, domestic competition, export controls on ore, and pressure to do refining and processing inside China.
  • The episode says China now processes about 90 percent of the world’s rare earths, reinforcing the existing Rare Earth Processing Bottleneck branch.
  • The 2010 Japan shock showed Rare Earth Export Leverage when China informally stopped selling rare-earth products to Japan after the Diaoyu/Senkaku boat incident.
  • Project Phoenix reopened Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine, but the source says Molycorp expanded too quickly into a market where prices later crashed.
  • The episode treats Mark Smith’s claim that China deliberately released product to crash prices as an allegation, not a proven fact; it uses the case to illustrate Dominant Producer Price Discipline risk.
  • The April 2025 Donald Trump “Liberation Day” tariffs are presented as a U.S. wake-up call after China limited some rare-earth exports needed by U.S. defense and industrial users.
  • The source says U.S. policy now resembles State-Backed Rare Earth Rebuilding: grants, loans, government equity stakes, and possible allied price floors intended to make non-Chinese rare-earth capacity financeable.
  • In 2025, the [[USDepartmentOfDefense|Department of Defense]] took a 15 percent stake in MP Materials, while NioCorp pursued a Nebraska rare-earth mine with government loans and possible equity partnership.

Key Quotes

“Project Phoenix” - the name of Molycorp’s Mountain Pass reopening plan.

“no smoking gun” - the source’s caveat around the alleged China price-crash strategy.

“Liberation Day” - the tariff announcement that the episode links to the 2025 U.S. rare-earth wake-up call.

Connections

Contradictions

  • No direct contradiction found. The source reinforces How to get what Greenland has, with permission on the centrality of processing capacity, while adding a historical U.S. industry path and a stronger warning that export leverage and price discipline can defeat simple mine-reopening strategies.