Outsider chance: ending Sudan's proxy war

source Episode summary Updated 2026-08-08 Tags: Podcast, Geopolitics, Trade, Infrastructure, Art

Summary

This The Intelligence episode links three cases where formal openings do not remove deeper power constraints. Tom Gardner reports that Sudan’s war remains a foreign-backed civil conflict even after the [[SudaneseArmedForces|SAF]] retook Khartoum, because the [[RapidSupportForces|RSF]] still controls much of Darfur, drone attacks continue around El Obeid, and outside sponsors have strategic interests in Sudan’s coastline, gold, land, and political future. Annie Crabill then uses the Gordie Howe Bridge to show how mutually useful cross-border infrastructure can be caught in Donald Trump’s tariff and ownership politics, while Anne Rowe closes with Betye Saar’s assemblage art as a way of making slavery, race, and liberation visible through discarded objects.

Key Claims

  • The episode says Sudan’s war is the world’s worst humanitarian crisis, with millions displaced and possibly hundreds of thousands killed.
  • Tom Gardner describes Khartoum after the army’s return as devastated, quiet, dark, and methodically looted rather than recovered.
  • The source says the [[SudaneseArmedForces|SAF]] controls Khartoum and much of eastern and northern Sudan, while the [[RapidSupportForces|RSF]] still controls much of western Sudan, especially Darfur.
  • Gardner says evidence points to significant [[UnitedArabEmirates|UAE]] backing for the RSF, while noting that the UAE denies this.
  • The source describes the army as supported by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and especially Turkey, whose drones are linked to recent battlefield gains.
  • Low-Cost Drone Warfare appears as a countrywide safety problem: both sides have drone arsenals, and civilian infrastructure such as hospitals, markets, and gas stations has been hit.
  • El Obeid is presented as a major hotspot; an RSF capture could reconnect western fronts and threaten Khartoum from the west again.
  • Foreign backers are described as interested in Sudan’s Red Sea coastline, gold reserves, arable land, and future political alignment.
  • The Sudan “quad” of the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates is presented as a possible diplomatic channel, but not a guarantee of enforcement.
  • Fragmented Ceasefire Enforcement is the key implementation problem: both the SAF and RSF are coalitions whose components may not obey a single command.
  • Annie Crabill says the Gordie Howe Bridge connects Detroit and [[WindsorOntario|Windsor, Ontario]], after more than 14 years of development.
  • The bridge is presented as commercially useful because the Detroit-Windsor crossing handles about $94bn in annual trade and gives trucks an alternative to the Ambassador Bridge.
  • The source says Canada paid the C$6bn construction cost upfront, while a later agreement in principle would route half of net profits into an American fund for 15 years.
  • The bridge dispute is tied to broader Trade Reciprocity Protectionism after Trump attacked the project, demanded a larger U.S. stake, and later announced new tariffs on Canadian goods.
  • Betye Saar is presented as an assemblage artist who gave new political force to discarded objects carrying traces of earlier owners, slavery, race, and constrained Black life.
  • Saar’s The Liberation of Aunt Jemima is described as a 1968 work that transformed a racist commercial figure by adding a rifle, a hand grenade, and a Black Power fist.
  • The art segment links Saar’s late work to journeys, captivity, and liberation through materials such as canoes, cages, branches, stones, and pleading hands.

Key Quotes

“ghost city” - Gardner’s description of Khartoum after the army retook the capital.

“The Liberation of Aunt Jemima” - Saar’s title for the 1968 assemblage that made her feel she had become an artist.

Connections

Contradictions

  • No direct contradiction found. The source extends Proxy Conflict Spoiler Risk from the wiki’s Iran/Lebanon branch into Sudan: outside powers may be necessary to pressure local clients toward a ceasefire, but their sponsorship, interests, and local partner fragmentation are also reasons the war persists.